Which forex pair is most predictable? (2024)

Which forex pair is most predictable?

EUR/CHF is the most predictable pair in forex trading among the technical traders because the market always keeps moving depend on some technical analysis or forex trading chart patterns. This is one of the very slow-moving currency pair out there with low volatile and liquidity.

The most predictable currency pairs are typically those involving the US dollar, the Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, Sterling pound, the Euro, and the Swiss franc. These pairs tend to be less volatile, and therefore more predictable, than those involving less stable currencies.

When it comes to Forex trading, the least volatile currency pairs are typically the major pairs, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD. These pairs tend to have higher liquidity and are more stable compared to exotic or cross pairs.

Of all the pairs listed in our table, the EUR/JPY, NZD/USD, and AUD/USD are the most trending currency pairs at the moment. Although these trends are not extremely forceful, they have produced numerous trading opportunities during the last 12 months.

EUR/USD - Average daily pips move over the past ten weeks: 78.31 pips or 0.73% While the EUR/USD is less volatile than other currency pairs that could complete the Top 10, like the USD/RUB, USD/TRY, or USD/ILS, it is the most liquid currency pair traded on the market, accounting for 28% of daily trading volumes with ...

For instance, the EUR/USD is the most liquid currency pair and has tight spreads, making it an ideal pair for beginner traders. On the other hand, the GBP/USD has a higher volatility level, requires higher margins making it suitable for more experienced traders.

Beginners might find the AUD/USD pair to be an excellent choice, since it is more predictable and less likely to spike or drop suddenly. In many studies, this pair has also been cited as one of the least volatile. In conclusion, the best currency pairs to trade for beginners are EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY.

EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)

This pair is the most traded currency pair globally, accounting for over 24% of all Forex transactions. Its high liquidity ensures tight spreads and relatively stable price movements, making it a popular choice among both novice and experienced traders.

The most volatile currency pairs include the GBP/AUD, AUD/JPY, AUD/USD, CAD/JPY, NZD/JPY, USD/MXN, USD/TRY, and USD/ZAR.

What is the most reliable Forex pattern?

Head and Shoulders Pattern: The head and shoulders pattern is considered one of the most reliable chart patterns and is used to identify possible trend reversals.

Major currency pairs are highly liquid, so they are less volatile. The least volatile currency pairs include USD/CHF, USD/JPY, EUR/CHF, and USD/EUR. The movement in the price of these pairs is often tiny because both currencies in the pair often move in the same direction.

Major currency pairs, such as EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY, are characterized by high liquidity. This makes them suitable for scalping strategies as traders can quickly enter and exit positions without significant slippage.

EUR/USD is the most liquid forex pair and represents 20-30% of the forex market by trading volume.

Only GBP/USD moves for more than 100 points per day. AUD/USD turned out to be the least volatile currency pair. As for the cross rates, GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD, and GBP/JPY are the most fluctuating currency pairs. All of them move on average for more than 100 points per day.

No trading strategy is complete without proper risk management. The 5-3-1 rule encourages traders to limit their risk by only trading five currency pairs and developing three strategies. Additionally, it's crucial to set stop-loss and take-profit levels for each trade and stick to them to avoid significant losses.

Some commonly traded Forex majors such as the USD/JPY and the GBP/USD also show high levels of volatility but fall behind the AUD and NZD crosses. Other Forex majors such as the most traded Forex pair, the EUR/USD, show much lower levels of volatility.

Scalpers tend to follow the most major pairs which are traded, and their most preferred pairs are EUR/USD, USD/CHF, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY. Scalpers prefer these pairs because they move slowly in the market and have the highest amount of trading according to volume.

This forex trading style is ideal for people who dislike looking at their charts frequently and who can only trade in their free time. The very lowest you can open an account with is $500 if you wish to initiate a trade with a risk of 50 pips since you can risk $5 per trade, which is 1% of $500.

Is it good to trade only one pair in forex?

Trading one pair actually good enough to make money grow if really profitable. However, the disadvantage of choosing one pair is the market not always the same, in a sideways market if only focus one pair may be missing another pair that probably has a clear trend.

While there are many pairs you could trade for most traders, it is best to stick to one to five pairs and become an expert. There is always a temptation to change markets when making losses. Other forex pairs can appear to have stronger trends, higher volatility, and easier-to-make profits.

The least volatile currency pairs are as follows: EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, HKDUSD, USDSGD, AUDNZD, CADCHF, AUDCHF, EURCHF, CHFJPY.

There will be times where a currency is moving differently from normal. Perhaps price is spiking and you don't know why. This is a good time to stay out of the market. If you can't understand why price is behaving in a certain way, it is usually due to some unscheduled news that has been released or leaked.

Gold and Swiss Franc (XAU/CHF):

The Swiss Franc, like gold, is considered a safe-haven currency. Consequently, the correlation between gold and the Swiss Franc can be positive during times of economic uncertainty.